Seven Rings*
Week 1 in review

Week one came down to the last category

Five of the six matchups finished one category apart, and two of those were settled by less than a tenth of a percentage point. Here's how each one was won, who carried it, and how the model's pre-season calls held up.

Week 1 20–25 Oct Model this week 4 of 6
the scores

Week 1 results

Closest finish first. Tap a score for the breakdown.

  1. 0.5 CENT 5–4 Voodoo Dunks
  2. Hellas World Order 5–4 HOWS HE GON GET DOWN
  3. The Gulag 5–4 Ricky Bobby
  4. Doncic Corleone 5–4 Tank
  5. NAW thats cute 5–4 Latrells
  6. LJ Booker 6–3 Meadows 11
how they were won

Matchup by matchup

Gold marks each category's winner. When a one-category result turned on a close category, that category is marked as the decider: flip it and the result flips.

0.5 CENT
5–4
Voodoo Dunks

0.5 CENT edges it from the field

Category results, 0.5 CENT against Voodoo Dunks
0.5 CENTCategoryVoodoo Dunks
46.12% FG%decider 46.08%
72.3% FT% 79.8%
61 3PM 47
604 PTS 526
207 REB 216
115 AST 101
42 STL 31
29 BLK 40
97 TO 85
38 Games played 38

Field-goal percentage decided this one: 0.5 CENT shot 46.12%, Voodoo Dunks shot 46.08%. Flip that and the result flips with it. Around it, 0.5 CENT won 3PM, PTS, AST and STL, while Voodoo Dunks won FT%, REB, BLK and TO.

Victor Wembanyama had 33 rebounds and 12 blocks in 3 games, and Dyson Daniels added 13 steals. Cade Cunningham (64 points, 24 assists) and Caleb Wilson (67 points, 24 rebounds) led Voodoo Dunks.

Read the full story: 0.5 CENT against Voodoo Dunks
0.5 CENT
  • Victor Wembanyama3 games60 pts · 33 reb · 7 ast · 12 blk
  • Dyson Daniels3 games49 pts · 21 reb · 10 ast · 13 stl
Voodoo Dunks
  • Cade Cunningham3 games64 pts · 14 reb · 24 ast · 6 blk
  • Caleb Wilson3 games67 pts · 24 reb · 4 ast · 6 stl
Model's call: 0.5 CENT (56%) Hit
Hellas World Order
5–4
HOWS HE GON GET DOWN

Hellas World Order wins it at the free-throw line

Category results, Hellas World Order against HOWS HE GON GET DOWN
Hellas World OrderCategoryHOWS HE GON GET DOWN
48.3% FG% 45.9%
79.77% FT%decider 79.76%
59 3PM 55
599 PTS 643
243 REB 198
144 AST 145
34 STL 57
14 BLK 35
90 TO 97
39+1 sat out Games played 40+4 sat out

Free-throw percentage settled it: Hellas World Order 79.77%, HOWS HE GON GET DOWN 79.76%. It was close the other way too, with HOWS HE GON GET DOWN taking assists 145 to 144. HOWS HE GON GET DOWN won PTS, AST, STL and BLK, but Hellas World Order had FG%, FT%, 3PM, REB and TO. HOWS HE GON GET DOWN had 4 more games on Yahoo's count, but four of them were starts that came up empty: 40 to 39 on the court.

Domantas Sabonis pulled down 52 rebounds on 81% shooting in 3 games, and Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 85. Jaylen Brown (83 points) and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (83 points, 5 blocks) led HOWS HE GON GET DOWN.

Read the full story: Hellas World Order against HOWS HE GON GET DOWN
Hellas World Order
  • Domantas Sabonis3 games56 pts · 52 reb · 21 ast
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo3 games85 pts · 24 reb · 9 ast
HOWS HE GON GET DOWN
  • Jaylen Brown4 games83 pts · 23 reb · 19 ast · 5 stl · 8 3pm
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander3 games83 pts · 14 reb · 12 ast · 5 stl · 5 blk
Model's call: HOWS HE GON GET DOWN (69%) Missed
The Gulag
5–4
Ricky Bobby

The Gulag wins the tight ones

Category results, The Gulag against Ricky Bobby
The GulagCategoryRicky Bobby
47.0% FG% 45.8%
75.0% FT% 80.4%
41 3PM 51
539 PTS 480
196 REB 149
118 AST 144
46 STL 45
24 BLK 27
68 TOdecider 69
35+3 sat out Games played 33+1 sat out

The Gulag committed 68 turnovers to 69 and won steals 46 to 45, plus field-goal percentage, 47.0% to 45.8%. Ricky Bobby had the passing (144 assists to 118) and the threes, but played fewer games, 33 to 35.

Jalen Johnson filled every column: 65 points, 30 rebounds and 30 assists in 3 games. Trae Young handed out 34 assists and Tyrese Haliburton added 29 more for Ricky Bobby.

Read the full story: The Gulag against Ricky Bobby
The Gulag
  • Jalen Johnson3 games65 pts · 30 reb · 30 ast · 5 stl
  • LeBron James3 games49 pts · 21 reb · 17 ast · 6 stl
Ricky Bobby
  • Tyrese Haliburton3 games65 pts · 12 reb · 29 ast
  • Trae Young3 games67 pts · 5 reb · 34 ast · 8 3pm
Model's call: The Gulag (59%) Hit
Doncic Corleone
5–4
Tank

Doncic Corleone edges it on steals

Category results, Doncic Corleone against Tank
Doncic CorleoneCategoryTank
48.7% FG% 45.3%
73.7% FT% 79.2%
64 3PM 74
593 PTS 542
235 REB 173
152 AST 121
49 STLdecider 47
15 BLK 18
83 TO 56
37+2 sat out Games played 35+4 sat out

Doncic Corleone took FG%, PTS, REB, AST and STL. With 37 games played to 35, they out-scored Tank 593 to 542 and out-rebounded them 235 to 173. Tank answered with FT%, 3PM, BLK and TO, and the matchup turned on steals: 49 to 47.

Luka Dončić put up 103 points, 22 rebounds and 24 assists in 3 games, with Keyonte George adding 25 assists. Ty Jerome led Tank with 104 points on 56% shooting, and Nikola Jokić chipped in 22 rebounds in 2 games.

Read the full story: Doncic Corleone against Tank
Doncic Corleone
  • Luka Dončić3 games103 pts · 22 reb · 24 ast · 5 stl · 15 3pm
  • Keyonte George3 games65 pts · 13 reb · 25 ast · 9 3pm
Tank
  • Ty Jerome3 games104 pts · 13 reb · 17 ast · 9 3pm
  • Nikola Jokić2 games48 pts · 22 reb · 15 ast
Model's call: Tank (54%) Missed
NAW thats cute
5–4
Latrells

NAW thats cute owns the scoring categories

Category results, NAW thats cute against Latrells
NAW thats cuteCategoryLatrells
46.4% FG% 44.3%
79.5% FT% 81.2%
51 3PM 38
574 PTS 504
221 REB 199
124 AST 115
33 STL 37
16 BLK 25
84 TO 74
38 Games played 34+1 sat out

NAW thats cute won FG%, 3PM, PTS, REB and AST; Latrells won FT%, STL, BLK and TO. Volume told the story: 38 games played to 34, and 574 points to 504.

Karl-Anthony Towns had 63 points and 36 rebounds on 62% from the field, and Julius Randle added 66 points and 19 assists. Cameron Boozer grabbed 35 rebounds for Latrells, and Zion Williamson had 8 steals.

Read the full story: NAW thats cute against Latrells
NAW thats cute
  • Karl-Anthony Towns3 games63 pts · 36 reb · 8 ast
  • Julius Randle3 games66 pts · 21 reb · 19 ast
Latrells
  • Cameron Boozer3 games48 pts · 35 reb · 15 ast
  • Zion Williamson3 games62 pts · 9 reb · 7 ast · 8 stl
Model's call: NAW thats cute (71%) Hit
LJ Booker
6–3
Meadows 11

LJ Booker posts the week's clearest win

Category results, LJ Booker against Meadows 11
LJ BookerCategoryMeadows 11
48.9% FG% 44.0%
74.8% FT% 78.1%
73 3PM 49
620 PTS 571
200 REB 183
117 AST 124
36 STL 35
15 BLK 31
71 TO 75
35+2 sat out Games played 36+1 sat out

LJ Booker won FG%, 3PM, PTS, REB, STL and TO, the only result of the week that didn't come down to a single category. They shot 48.9% to 44.0% and hit 73 threes to 49.

Tyrese Maxey was the top individual performer in the league: 115 points, 19 assists and 8 steals in 4 games. LJ Booker answered with depth, led by Anthony Edwards with 86 points and Alperen Şengün with 27 rebounds.

Read the full story: LJ Booker against Meadows 11
LJ Booker
  • Anthony Edwards3 games86 pts · 15 reb · 10 ast · 6 stl · 13 3pm
  • Alperen Şengün3 games69 pts · 27 reb · 19 ast
Meadows 11
  • Tyrese Maxey4 games115 pts · 16 reb · 19 ast · 8 stl · 9 3pm
  • Franz Wagner3 games63 pts · 25 reb · 19 ast
Model's call: LJ Booker (54%) Hit
top performer

Tyrese Maxey

PHI · 4 games · on Meadows 11's roster

Points
115
Rebounds
16
Assists
19
Steals
8
Threes
9
FG%
46.6%

Biggest surprise and biggest underperformer

biggest surprise

Ty Jerome

MEM · 3 games · on Tank's roster

+37%fantasy value a game against ESPN's pre-season projection

Ty Jerome: per game this week against projection
Per gameThis weekProjected
Points34.720.5
Rebounds4.33.3
Assists5.75.8
Steals0.71.4
Threes3.02.8
FG%56%49%
biggest underperformer

Josh Giddey

CHI · 3 games · on Doncic Corleone's roster

−46%fantasy value a game against ESPN's pre-season projection

Josh Giddey: per game this week against projection
Per gameThis weekProjected
Points5.718.5
Rebounds6.39.2
Assists8.39.6
Steals0.31.2
Threes0.32.0
FG%27%45%

Starting-slot games only, at least 2 of them. The percentage is fantasy value a game against ESPN's pre-season projection. The surprise gained the most value over the whole week; the underperformer lost the most among the 36 highest-projected players who played.

the calls

Week 2 calls

26 Oct – 1 Nov · closest call first

Made 27 Oct, after day one, on current rosters. The model starts from the score so far and projects the days still to play. It names a winner, its chance and the most likely final score; a 4–4–1 tie takes the rest.

Latrells def. Hellas World Order

most likely score5-4-0

56%tie 3%41%

Leans Latrells inFT%REBASTBLKTO

After day one: Latrells leads 6–3

Meadows 11 def. Ricky Bobby

most likely score5-4-0

65%tie 4%31%

Leans Meadows 11 inFG%FT%PTSSTLBLK

After day one: Meadows 11 leads 6–2–1

0.5 CENT def. The Gulag

most likely score5-4-0

67%tie 3%30%

Leans 0.5 CENT inFG%FT%3PMPTSASTSTL

After day one: 0.5 CENT leads 6–3

LJ Booker def. HOWS HE GON GET DOWN

most likely score5-4-0

71%tie 3%26%

Leans LJ Booker in3PMPTSREBSTLBLKTO

After day one: LJ Booker leads 6–2–1

Doncic Corleone def. Voodoo Dunks

most likely score5-4-0

76%tie 3%21%

Leans Doncic Corleone in3PMPTSREBASTSTL

After day one: Voodoo Dunks leads 4–3–2

Tank def. NAW thats cute

most likely score6-3-0

87%tie 2%11%

Leans Tank inFG%3PMPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO

After day one: Tank leads 8–1

the record

The model, so far

Every call stays on the page, right or wrong. A call counts when it names the winner; from week two an exact final scoreline counts too.

4/6winners called